Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.13%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
