SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Cape Verde |
66.87% ( -0.17) | 20.69% ( 0.25) | 12.43% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.53% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -1.18) | 51.34% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -1.04) | 73.17% ( 1.04) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( -0.43) | 14.49% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.52% ( -0.83) | 42.47% ( 0.83) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.74% ( -0.88) | 50.26% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.16% ( -0.61) | 84.84% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.14% Total : 66.86% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 12.43% |
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