SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Egypt | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ghana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Egypt | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ghana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cape Verde | Draw | Mozambique |
42.77% ( 1.99) | 28.33% ( -0.98) | 28.89% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.12% ( 2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.24% ( 2.85) | 60.75% ( -2.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% ( 2.09) | 80.81% ( -2.1) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( 2.51) | 28.13% ( -2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( 3.08) | 63.81% ( -3.09) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( 0.77) | 37.21% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26% ( 0.75) | 74% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cape Verde | Draw | Mozambique |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.7% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( -1.18)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.93) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.88% |
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