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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio 24 de Setembro
NN

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 2
Nigeria

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sadiq (56'), Troost-Ekong (75')

We said: Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Nigeria

Nigeria have been one of the most dominant sides at the tournament and will look to sound their name as genuine title contenders by picking up three wins from their opening three games. While we expect Guinea-Bissau to put up a valiant fight, we anticipate the Super Eagles will come out victorious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Nigeria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawNigeria
16.61%24.02%59.37%
Both teams to score 42.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69%56.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66%77.34%
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.92%47.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.45%82.55%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22%18.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81%50.19%
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 16.61%
    Nigeria 59.35%
    Draw 24.01%
Guinea-BissauDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-1 @ 4.2%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 16.61%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 14.78%
0-2 @ 12.36%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-3 @ 6.89%
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-4 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 59.35%

Read more!
Read more!


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