Egypt and Nigeria are two of the most experienced and decorated sides in the tournament and this makes for an exciting and nerve-racking watch. While we cannot ignore Salah's presence, Nigeria head into the game with a more complete and well-rounded squad who should be able to get the job done. We are tipping the Super Eagles to get their campaign off to a flyer by claiming all three points, albeit by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Egypt win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.
