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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 4pm UK
National Complex
NN

Liberia
0 - 2
Nigeria


Wynney (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osimhen (15' pen.), Musa (90+4' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Liberia win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
LiberiaDrawNigeria
25.38%22.96%51.67%
Both teams to score 58.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49%41.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09%63.92%
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28%29.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21%65.79%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85%16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.4%45.6%
Score Analysis
    Liberia 25.38%
    Nigeria 51.67%
    Draw 22.96%
LiberiaDrawNigeria
2-1 @ 6.44%
1-0 @ 5.83%
2-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-1 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 5.88%
0-3 @ 4.85%
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.21%
2-4 @ 1.63%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 51.67%

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