Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Liberia win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
