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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
CV

Nigeria
1 - 1
Cape Verde

Osimhen (1')
Ndidi (16'), Balogun (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stopira (5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawCape Verde
47.22%24.06%28.72%
Both teams to score 58.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.01%43.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.63%66.37%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22%18.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82%50.18%
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46%28.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67%64.32%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 47.22%
    Cape Verde 28.72%
    Draw 24.05%
NigeriaDrawCape Verde
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.72%

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