SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Senegal |
| 46.4% | 27.32% | 26.28% |
| Both teams to score 46.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.47% | 58.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.89% | 79.1% |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% | 25.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% | 59.97% |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% | 38.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% | 74.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% 2-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.28% |
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