SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 7.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.03%) and 3-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.38%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Madagascar |
73.13% ( 0.31) | 19.73% ( -0.03) | 7.14% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 27.92% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.46% ( -0.65) | 60.54% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.35% ( -0.49) | 80.65% ( 0.49) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -0.12) | 15.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.58% ( -0.22) | 44.42% ( 0.22) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.04% ( -1.11) | 66.96% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.18% ( -0.46) | 93.82% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 19.35% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 18.03% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.65% Total : 73.12% | 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.25) 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.72% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.42% Total : 7.14% |
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