SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Senegal win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Senegal |
42.94% ( 0.07) | 26.94% ( -0.03) | 30.11% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.66% ( 0.08) | 55.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.45% ( 0.06) | 76.55% ( -0.07) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0.07) | 25.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( 0.1) | 60.38% ( -0.1) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0) | 33.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( 0.01) | 70% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.11% |
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