SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Ivory Coast |
46.15% ( -0.36) | 28.52% ( 0.27) | 25.33% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.42% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.97% ( -0.79) | 63.03% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.51% ( -0.57) | 82.49% ( 0.57) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -0.55) | 27.44% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( -0.72) | 62.92% ( 0.72) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0.37) | 41.54% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.97% ( -0.32) | 78.03% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.71% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.2% Total : 25.32% |
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