Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.56%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match.
Result | ||
Algeria | Draw | Ethiopia |
69.78% ( 0.17) | 19.65% ( -0.2) | 10.57% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 39.87% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.38% ( 0.85) | 51.62% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.59% ( 0.74) | 73.41% ( -0.73) |
Algeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.32% ( 0.32) | 13.68% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.1% ( 0.63) | 40.9% ( -0.63) |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.19% ( 0.59) | 53.8% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.85% ( 0.36) | 87.15% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Algeria | Draw | Ethiopia |
1-0 @ 14.64% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 14.56% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.78% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.65% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 10.57% |
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