SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Algeria |
19.26% ( -1.17) | 25.81% ( -1.05) | 54.93% ( 2.22) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.85% ( 2.23) | 59.15% ( -2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.41% ( 1.69) | 79.58% ( -1.69) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.49% ( -0.01) | 45.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.66% ( -0.01) | 81.33% ( 0.01) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 1.9) | 21.65% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( 2.83) | 54.78% ( -2.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.26% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.86)2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 11.53% ( 0.33)1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 5.88% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.38)0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.91% |
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