SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Senegal win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Senegal |
47.16% ( 0.82) | 25.92% ( -0.16) | 26.91% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% ( 0.23) | 53% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( 0.19) | 74.59% ( -0.19) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.47) | 22.47% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( 0.7) | 56.01% ( -0.7) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( -0.4) | 34.61% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.66% ( -0.43) | 71.33% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.91% |
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