SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Ivory Coast |
35.89% ( 0.02) | 29.14% ( -0.01) | 34.97% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.69% ( 0.05) | 62.31% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.04% ( 0.04) | 81.96% ( -0.03) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( 0.04) | 33.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( 0.04) | 69.59% ( -0.04) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 0.02) | 33.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( 0.02) | 70.26% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.88% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.96% |
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