SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Morocco | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Iran had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Senegal |
37.52% ( -18.62) | 23.08% ( -0.07) | 39.4% ( 18.69) |
| Both teams to score 65.02% ( 12.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( 11.18) | 36.26% ( -11.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.62% ( 11.27) | 58.38% ( -11.28) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( -3.08) | 19.79% ( 3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( -5.25) | 51.85% ( 5.24) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( 18.22) | 18.93% ( -18.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( 23.5) | 50.44% ( -23.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Senegal |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -1.66) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -5.03)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -5.02)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -1.45)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.77)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -3.27)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.84)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -1.58)Other @ 3.25% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.89) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 1.94)0-0 @ 3.75% ( -2.46)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 1.08)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 2.96) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 2.15)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 2.87)2-3 @ 3.78% ( 2.17)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 1.88)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 1.5)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 1.17)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.95)Other @ 3.54% Total : 39.4% |
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