SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 6.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.38%) and 3-0 (11.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.44%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Ghana |
73.48% ( -0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.04) | 6.03% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 22.62% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.6% ( 0.22) | 65.4% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.83% ( 0.16) | 84.17% ( -0.16) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( 0.08) | 17.11% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% ( 0.14) | 47.32% ( -0.14) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 27.29% ( 0.28) | 72.71% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.12% ( 0.09) | 95.88% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 21.96% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 19.38% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 73.45% | 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.1) 1-1 @ 7% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.06% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 6.03% |
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