Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
Result | ||
Nicaragua | Draw | Ghana |
49.77% ( 0) | 25.67% ( -0) | 24.55% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.39% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.3% ( 0.01) | 53.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% ( 0.01) | 75.18% ( -0.01) |
Nicaragua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% ( 0.01) | 21.6% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.3% ( 0.01) | 54.7% ( -0.01) |
Ghana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% ( 0.01) | 37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% ( 0.01) | 73.79% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Nicaragua | Draw | Ghana |
1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.55% |
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