Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
Result | ||
Ghana | Draw | Madagascar |
51.11% | 24.86% | 24.02% |
Both teams to score 51.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.03% | 50.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.16% | 72.84% |
Ghana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% | 19.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% | 52.08% |
Madagascar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.02% | 35.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.24% | 72.75% |
Score Analysis |
Ghana | Draw | Madagascar |
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.02% |
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