SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Angola had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Angola |
56.29% ( 0.4) | 26.91% ( -0.2) | 16.8% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 36.56% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.34) | 65.11% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.03% ( 0.24) | 83.96% ( -0.24) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.32) | 23.62% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( 0.47) | 57.7% ( -0.47) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.87% ( -0.05) | 52.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.91% ( -0.03) | 86.09% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 17.76% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 56.28% | 0-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 16.8% |
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