SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Zambia |
51.92% ( -0.03) | 24.81% ( 0.09) | 23.27% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.39) | 51.43% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( -0.34) | 73.24% ( 0.34) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( -0.17) | 19.79% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.15% ( -0.27) | 51.85% ( 0.27) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.27) | 36.91% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.3% ( -0.27) | 73.7% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.92% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
