Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 6.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.47%) and 3-0 (12.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.5%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
-0.57) 
0.47) 
