Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for France in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for France.