SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for France in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for France.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Morocco |
51.22% ( 1.12) | 25.76% ( -0.46) | 23.02% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% ( 1.15) | 55.3% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% ( 0.94) | 76.52% ( -0.93) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.97) | 21.64% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( 1.46) | 54.76% ( -1.46) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.68% ( 0.03) | 39.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.98% ( 0.02) | 76.03% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.02% |
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