SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Belgium | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Canada | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Morocco win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Portugal |
24.74% ( 0.22) | 26.69% ( -0.36) | 48.57% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.7% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% ( 1.42) | 57.3% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% ( 1.12) | 78.14% ( -1.12) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% ( 1) | 38.83% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.44% ( 0.93) | 75.56% ( -0.94) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.69) | 23.66% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( 0.98) | 57.76% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Portugal |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.5% Total : 24.74% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.57% |
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