SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
42.27% ( -0.67) | 26.67% ( 0.28) | 31.06% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( -0.97) | 53.97% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -0.82) | 75.41% ( 0.82) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.77) | 25.25% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( -1.08) | 60.01% ( 1.08) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( -0.22) | 31.99% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( -0.25) | 68.45% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.06% |
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