Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Kalmar
61.2% ( -0.4)	21.47% ( 0.15)	17.32% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81% (

-0.23)

45.19% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

-0.22)

67.53% (

0.22)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.73% (

-0.2)

14.26% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.96% (

-0.39)

42.04% (

0.39)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.43% (

0.17)

39.57% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

0.16)

76.25% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 61.2%

Kalmar 17.32%

Draw 21.47%

Elfsborg	Draw	Kalmar
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 61.2%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.47%	0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.32%