Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
