SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Kalmar |
30.34% ( 0.22) | 26.35% ( -0.05) | 43.31% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( 0.28) | 52.95% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( 0.24) | 74.56% ( -0.24) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.3) | 31.98% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( 0.35) | 68.44% ( -0.35) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.04) | 24.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.36% ( 0.06) | 58.64% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.34% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.31% |
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