Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
