Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Kalmar win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malmo in this match.
