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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Malmo
0 - 2
Zalgiris


Christiansen (38'), Toivonen (83'), Larsson (90+4')
Christiansen (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oyewusi (34'), Oliveira (52')
Gorobsov (26'), Bopesu (29'), Milickovic (32'), Ourega (65'), Kyeremeh (72'), Jarusevicius (77'), Ljubisavljevic (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 3-1 Sirius
Saturday, July 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 Malmo
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League

We said: Malmo 2-0 FK Zalgiris (Malmo to win 2-1 on aggregate)

Malmo suffered a surprise defeat against Zalgiris last week, with the first-leg loss the only game in their last 10 across all competitions in which they have failed to score. Even though the visitors are in fine form, the hosts will be the firm favourites to win on Wednesday and they should have enough quality in their side to turn the tie around and book their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
MalmoDrawFK Zalgiris
51.15% (-0.132 -0.13) 24.51% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 24.34% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (0.011000000000003 0.01)49.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)19.26% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)50.99% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (0.105 0.11)34.76% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (0.112 0.11)71.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 51.14%
    FK Zalgiris 24.34%
    Draw 24.51%
MalmoDrawFK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malmo 3-1 Sirius
Saturday, July 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 Malmo
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-2 Malmo
Saturday, July 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Vikingur 3-3 Malmo
Tuesday, July 12 at 8.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Varbergs
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 3-2 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 Malmo
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 KF Ballkani (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-1 Zalgiris
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, August 19 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalgiris 0-1 NS Mura
Thursday, August 12 at 6pm in Europa League


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