SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 14 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Malmo | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 13 | 15 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Malmo |
24.68% ( -0.59) | 25.3% ( 0.06) | 50.02% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.85% ( -0.71) | 52.15% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.13% ( -0.61) | 73.87% ( 0.61) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.89) | 36.04% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% ( -0.93) | 72.82% ( 0.93) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.06) | 20.86% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( -0.1) | 53.56% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.02% |
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