Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
