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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
3 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Komar (14'), Cervera (17'), Malcorra (65')
O'Connor (37'), Komar (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Avalos (49' pen.)
Di Cesare (41'), Gabriel Montiel (50'), Torren (66'), Galvan (83')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Rosario
Wednesday, October 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-2 Huracan
Wednesday, October 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawArgentinos Juniors
34.15% (0.472 0.47) 28.68% (0.568 0.57) 37.17% (-1.039 -1.04)
Both teams to score 45.71% (-1.571 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22% (-1.966 -1.97)60.77% (1.968 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-1.504 -1.5)80.82% (1.505 1.51)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.702 -0.7)33.36% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.779 -0.78)69.99% (0.78 0.78)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-1.618 -1.62)31.4% (1.619 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-1.917 -1.92)67.77% (1.918 1.92)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 34.15%
    Argentinos Juniors 37.16%
    Draw 28.67%
Rosario CentralDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.742 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 37.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Rosario
Wednesday, October 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, October 20 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Huracan
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, September 30 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Rosario
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Independiente
Wednesday, September 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-2 Huracan
Wednesday, October 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-2 Argentinos Jrs
Thursday, October 19 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, October 3 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 3-1 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, September 25 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-1 Talleres
Thursday, September 21 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division


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