Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
