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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 45.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
45.94% ( -0.2) | 29.37% ( 0.08) | 24.7% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.94% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.12% ( -0.17) | 65.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.5% ( -0.12) | 84.51% ( 0.12) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.19) | 28.94% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( -0.24) | 64.82% ( 0.24) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.21% ( 0.02) | 43.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.05% ( 0.02) | 79.95% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.69% |
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