SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 29.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.88%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Union |
29.34% ( 0.01) | 30.88% ( -0) | 39.79% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.64% ( 0) | 68.36% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.83% ( 0) | 86.17% ( -0) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.01) | 41.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.31% ( 0) | 77.69% ( -0.01) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0) | 33.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( -0) | 70.39% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.26% Total : 29.33% | 0-0 @ 13.88% 1-1 @ 13.39% 2-2 @ 3.23% Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.87% | 0-1 @ 15.08% 0-2 @ 8.2% ( -0)1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.78% |
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