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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Arsenal

Pereyra (58' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Brochero (14'), Chimino (26'), Breitenbruch (57')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Tucuman
Friday, September 22 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawArsenal Sarandi
56.34% (-0.71 -0.71) 25.73% (0.373 0.37) 17.93% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 40.93% (-0.371 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.65% (-0.808 -0.81)60.35% (0.809 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.49% (-0.616 -0.62)80.5% (0.617 0.62)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (-0.619 -0.62)21.56% (0.621 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (-0.96 -0.96)54.65% (0.961 0.96)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.18% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)47.82% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.9% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)83.1% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 56.33%
    Arsenal Sarandi 17.93%
    Draw 25.73%
Atletico TucumanDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 15.81% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 56.33%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 10.31% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.31% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.075 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Tucuman
Friday, September 22 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, September 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-2 Tucuman
Sunday, September 3 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 Instituto
Tuesday, August 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, August 20 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-2 Tucuman
Saturday, July 29 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Arsenal
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, August 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Instituto
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Colon
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division


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