Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 17, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Instituto.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 42.16%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 28.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Instituto |
42.16% ( 1.14) | 29.38% ( -0.3) | 28.46% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( 0.37) |
| 35.73% ( 0.64) | 64.27% ( -0.64) |
| 16.62% ( 0.45) | 83.38% ( -0.45) |
| 69.8% ( 0.98) | 30.2% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.64% ( 1.16) | 66.36% ( -1.16) |
| 60.47% ( -0.33) | 39.53% ( 0.33) |
