SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
45.75% ( 0.91) | 28.28% ( -0.21) | 25.96% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 43.49% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.08% ( 0.31) | 61.92% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.32% ( 0.22) | 81.67% ( -0.23) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( 0.62) | 27.11% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( 0.8) | 62.5% ( -0.8) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.67% ( -0.45) | 40.33% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.04% ( -0.41) | 76.95% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.75% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.96% |
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