Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (13.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Instituto | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
34.51% ( 0.03) | 30.33% ( -0) | 35.16% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.27% ( -0) |
| 33.87% ( -0) | 66.12% ( -0) |
| 15.33% ( -0) | 84.67% ( -0) |
| 64.02% ( 0.02) | 35.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.24% ( 0.02) | 72.75% ( -0.03) |
| 64.47% ( -0.03) | 35.53% ( 0.02) |
