SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barracas Central |
65.43% ( -0.32) | 20.49% ( 0.1) | 14.08% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( 0.03) | 47.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( 0.03) | 69.28% ( -0.03) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( -0.08) | 13.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.33% ( -0.17) | 40.67% ( 0.17) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55% ( 0.35) | 45% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.07% ( 0.27) | 80.93% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 65.42% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.08% |
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