SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Instituto |
42.38% ( -0.15) | 28.13% ( 0.3) | 29.49% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% ( -1.1) | 59.86% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% ( -0.85) | 80.13% ( 0.85) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -0.6) | 27.92% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( -0.78) | 63.54% ( 0.78) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.71) | 36.26% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( -0.72) | 73.04% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.92% Total : 29.49% |
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