SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Sarmiento |
41.06% ( -0.36) | 27.3% ( -0.14) | 31.63% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% ( 0.66) | 56.2% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( 0.53) | 77.25% ( -0.53) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( 0.11) | 26.91% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( 0.14) | 62.24% ( -0.14) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( 0.7) | 32.73% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( 0.77) | 69.28% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
