SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Belgrano |
48.82% ( -0.03) | 27.57% ( 0.01) | 23.61% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.37% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.94% ( 0) | 61.06% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.96% ( 0) | 81.04% ( -0) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.01) | 25.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( -0.02) | 59.93% ( 0.02) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.98% ( 0.03) | 42.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% ( 0.02) | 78.45% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.61% |
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