Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19

Sep 15, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Ciudad de Lanus

Lanus
0 - 1
Boca Juniors

Belmonte (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Benedetto (90')
Fabra (37'), Figal (67'), Advincula (74'), Zambrano (87'), Rossi (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, September 11 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Boca Juniors
31.61% ( -0.25)	29.06% ( 0.18)	39.33% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.19% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.59% (

-0.65)

62.41% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.96% (

-0.48)

82.04% (

0.48)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96% (

-0.54)

36.04% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18% (

-0.55)

72.82% (

0.55)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09% (

-0.29)

30.91% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8% (

-0.34)

67.2% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Lanus 31.6%

Boca Juniors 39.32%

Draw 29.04%

Lanus	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.6%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.04%	0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.32%