SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Boca Juniors |
31.61% ( -0.25) | 29.06% ( 0.18) | 39.33% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.59% ( -0.65) | 62.41% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% ( -0.48) | 82.04% ( 0.48) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.54) | 36.04% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% ( -0.55) | 72.82% ( 0.55) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( -0.29) | 30.91% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.8% ( -0.34) | 67.2% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.32% |
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