SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
28.58% ( 0.41) | 26.57% ( 0.16) | 44.85% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.41) | 54.57% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( -0.34) | 75.92% ( 0.34) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.1) | 34.13% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( 0.11) | 70.82% ( -0.11) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( -0.45) | 24.23% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( -0.65) | 58.58% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.58% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.84% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
