Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18

Sep 8, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
3 - 0
Aldosivi

Ferreyra (17'), Fernandez (33'), Batallini (72')
Marcone (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Valentini (81'), Maciel (87'), Martinez (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Aldosivi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Aldosivi
56.05% ( 0.07)	25.42% ( -0.02)	18.53% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.61% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

0.02)

58.65% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

0.01)

79.2% (

-0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01% (

0.04)

20.99% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24% (

0.06)

53.76% (

-0.06)

Aldosivi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.92% (

-0.05)

46.07% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.22% (

-0.03)

81.78% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Independiente 56.04%

Aldosivi 18.53%

Draw 25.41%

Independiente	Draw	Aldosivi
1-0 @ 15.09% 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.04%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.53%