SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Boca Juniors |
27.34% ( 0.07) | 29.56% ( 0.16) | 43.09% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.75% ( -0.45) | 65.24% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.93% ( -0.31) | 84.06% ( 0.31) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.19) | 41.02% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.42% ( -0.17) | 77.57% ( 0.16) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( -0.36) | 30.16% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( -0.43) | 66.31% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.26% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 14.83% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.31% Total : 43.09% |
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