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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Cavani (61')
Fernandez (40'), Lema (65'), Blanco (71'), Fernandez (90+4'), Fernandez (90+3')
Cavani (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomez (90+4')
Ordonez (90+3'), Caseres (90+12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Tucuman
Sunday, June 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Velez Sarsfield

With the form of each team suggesting that they are evenly matched at this stage, we anticipate a closely-fought contest at La Bombonera. However, home advantage could prove key for Boca, who may feel more inclined to go on the offensive in a tight fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
54.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.16% (-0.283 -0.28) 18.84% (0.324 0.32)
Both teams to score 41.25% (1.124 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.28% (1.219 1.22)60.72% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.22% (0.908 0.91)80.78% (-0.911 -0.91)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.49799999999999 0.5)22.28% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.745 0.74)55.73% (-0.747 -0.75)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.07% (1.113 1.11)46.92% (-1.115 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (0.832 0.83)82.43% (-0.833 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 54.98%
    Velez Sarsfield 18.84%
    Draw 26.15%
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.69% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 54.98%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.45% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, June 2 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-0 Nacional
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Talleres
Sunday, May 26 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-4 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 20 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 13 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Tucuman
Sunday, June 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Velez Sarsfield (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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